Stock Market Reaction to Selected Macroeconomic Variables in the Nigerian Economy

Authors

Abraham Williams Terfa, Central Bank of NigeriaFollow

Keywords

Stock Market, Macroeconomic variables, Error Correction Model

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between the stock market and selected macroeconomic variables in Nigeria. The all share index was used as a proxy for the stock market while inflation, interest and exchange rates were the macroeconomic variables selected. Employing error correction model, it was found that a significant negative short run relationship exists between the stock market and the minimum rediscounting rate (MRR) implying that, a decrease in the MRR, would improve the performance of the Nigerian stock market. It was also found that exchange rate stability in the long run, improves the performance of the stock market. Though the results for Treasury bill and inflation rates were not significant, the results suggests that they were negatively related to the stock market in the short run thus, achieving low inflation rate and keeping the TBR low could improve the performance of the Nigerian stock market. Specifically, the study concludes that, by achieving stable exchange rates and altering the MRR, monetary policy would be effective in improving the performance of the Nigerian stock market

Author Bio

The author was at the time of this research, a graduate student of economics at the Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria. The views expressed in the study are those of the author, and should not be regarded as those of the Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria or the Central Bank of Nigeria.

Publication Title

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics 2011

Issue

1

Volume

2

Recommended Citation

Terfa, Abraham Williams (2011) "Stock Market Reaction to Selected Macroeconomic Variables in the Nigerian Economy," CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS): Vol. 2: No. 1, Article 5.
Available at: https://dc.cbn.gov.ng/jas/vol2/iss1/5