GDP Per Capita in Africa before the Global Financial Crisis: Persistence, Mean Reversion and Long Memory Features

Authors

Luis A. Gil-Alana, University of Navarra
Olaoluwa S. Yaya, University of IbadanFollow
Olanrewaju I. Shittu, University of Ibadan

Keywords

Africa, GDP, Global financial crisis, Long memory, Persistence.

Abstract

This paper examined the long memory features of GDP per capita data before the global financial crisis, using a sample of 26 African countries. The study employed fractional integration and tested the stability of the differencing parameter across the sample period for each country. The results indicated that most of the countries’ GDP series were I(1) or higher. Evidence of mean reversion was observed in 10 countries where the disturbances were autocorrelated. There was strong evidence against mean reversion in the remaining 16 countries. The results also indicated that the fractional differencing parameter was stable in 17 countries, while the presence of structural breaks was investigated in the remaining 9 countries.

Author Bio

1 Faculty of Economics, University of Navarra, Pamplona, Spain

2 Department of Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria. Corresponding Email: os.yaya@ui.edu.ng, o.s.olaoluwa@gmail.com

3 Department of Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria

Publication Title

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics

Issue

1(b)

Volume

6

Recommended Citation

Gil-Alana, Luis A.; Yaya, Olaoluwa S.; and Shittu, Olanrewaju I. (2015) "GDP Per Capita in Africa before the Global Financial Crisis: Persistence, Mean Reversion and Long Memory Features," CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS): Vol. 6: No. 1, Article 11.
Available at: https://dc.cbn.gov.ng/jas/vol6/iss1/11